Category Archives: global health

World Bank Estimates the Cost of Contact Tracing in Ebola Response

I want to save a bookmark to this little table in a big report on the economic impacts of Ebola in West Africa: World Bank country offices in Nigeria and Senegal produced estimates of the cost of successfully tracing contacts when responding to imported cases. Expensive, but worth it!

contact tracing costs

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CVRS in 2010 Report

Perhaps more than I ever wanted to know about the state of the birth and death registration system in South Africa circa 2010: http://unstats.un.org/unsd/demographic/CRVS/Technical%20report%20SADC%20final%20v2.pdf

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Tools They Use

I’m always on the lookout for new tools that I should be using in my daily work. Here is a short write-up by #hackebola researcher Caitlin Rivers on the subject: http://www.caitlinrivers.com/blog/the-setup-tools-i-use-to-track-emerging-infectious-diseases

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Les Roberts blogs from Sierra Leone

A few links to Les Roberts blogging from Sierra Leone:

http://pfmhcolumbia.wordpress.com/2014/10/12/les-says-farewell/

http://pfmhcolumbia.wordpress.com/2014/10/12/oneheavygig/

http://pfmhcolumbia.wordpress.com/2014/10/12/les-roberts-the-prediction-landscape-is-looking-bad/

http://pfmhcolumbia.wordpress.com/2014/10/14/les-roberts-day-10-leaving-columbia-to-be-at-peace-with-columbia/

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Digging into the GBD 2010 Risk Factors II

A follow-up on my recent adventure digging into the GBD 2010 risk factors, wherein I helped a fellow researcher find the specific diseases to which the risk factor DALYs are attributed (http://ihmeuw.org/2c6v ):

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I helped find where to look at the risk factor attribution, but what if you want to download the numbers? The “download chart data as CSV” link gives you something, but it is not the risk factors, it is just the disease fractions of total DALYs:

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Fortunately, a javascript guru with a few minute told me the incantation to get the risk factor fractions out, recorded here for posterity:

$.fileDownload(app.settings.baseURL+'php/risk_data.php',{ httpMethod: "POST", data:{ measure: app.getMeasure(1, 'percent'), sex: app.getSex(1), age: app.getAge(1), year: app.getYear(1), location: app.getLocation(1), cause: d3.keys(app.metadata.causes), risk: app.getRisk(1), format: 'csv', title: app.charts[1].getTitle(), } });

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Math Epi Ebola Models

I’ve been watching as much as I can the Ebola outbreak in West Africa, and the role of epidemiological modeling in the response. The figure that most approaches start with is from here:

f1

An important extension to the model appeared in a recent paper:

f2

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Digging into GBD 2010 Risk Factors

I have to make the old DisMod-III website disappear (is it still here?). It is beautiful, but it is not available, and so I have to turn away researchers who want to use it for their own work. Fortunately, I can send them to a GitHub repository of DisMod code that they can use. But recently, it was not really DisMod that the emailing researcher wanted. I think they were really interested in digging into the details behind a figure like this one:
rf

For that, there is a non-dead website I can offer: GBD Compare. Finding your way around it can be a bit of a challenge, though, so here is a link straight to the relative contribution of each nutritional risk factor for Germany and USA: http://ihmeuw.org/2c6t ; to see from which specific diseases the risk factor DALYs are attributed, you can use a different part of this tool, linked to here: http://ihmeuw.org/2c6v

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