Tag Archives: Bayesian

MCMC in Python: Statistical model stuck on a stochastic system dynamics model in PyMC

My recent tutorial on how to stick a statistical model on a systems dynamics model in PyMC generated a good amount of reader interest, as well as an interesting comment from Anand Patil, who writes: Something that might interest you … Continue reading

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Filed under global health, MCMC, statistics

MCMC in Python: How to stick a statistical model on a system dynamics model in PyMC

A recent question on the PyMC mailing list inspired me.  How can you estimate transition parameters in a compartmental model?  I did a lit search for just this when I started up my generic disease modeling project two years ago.  … Continue reading

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Filed under global health, MCMC, statistics

Child Mortality Paper

Check it out, my first published research in global health: Neonatal, postneonatal, childhood, and under-5 mortality for 187 countries, 1970—2010: a systematic analysis of progress towards Millennium Development Goal 4. I’m the ‘t’ in et al, and my contribution was … Continue reading

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Multilevel (hierarchical) modeling: what it can and cannot do in Python

I re-read a short paper of Andrew Gelman’s yesterday about multilevel modeling, and thought “That would make a nice example for PyMC”.  The paper is “Multilevel (hierarchical) modeling: what it can and cannot do, and R code for it is … Continue reading

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MCMC in Python: PyMC for Bayesian Model Selection

(Updated 9/2/2009, but still unfinished; see other’s work on this that I’ve collected) I never took a statistics class, so I only know the kind of statistics you learn on the street. But now that I’m in global health research, … Continue reading

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MCMC in Python: PyMC for Bayesian Probability

I’ve got an urge to write another introductory tutorial for the Python MCMC package PyMC.  This time, I say enough to the comfortable realm of Markov Chains for their own sake.  In this tutorial, I’ll test the waters of Bayesian … Continue reading

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Filed under MCMC, probability