Papers on with results from some of my favorite models from the GBD 2010 appeared this week:
Degenhardt et al, Global burden of disease attributable to illicit drug use and dependence: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010, http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(13)61530-5
Whiteford et al, Global burden of disease attributable to mental and substance use disorders: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010, http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(13)61611-6
It is just the kind of stuff to generate catchy health news headlines.
If I’m going to call attention to magazine coverage of the GBD 2010, I must also point out the great Discover Magazine article my former classmate wrote, which includes a snapshot I’m pretty sure I took.
As I mentioned, disease-specific papers I helped with from the GBD 2010 work are starting to appear, and the GBD-Compare tool tells a story about each one. This one is about heart disease, as described in Forouzanfar et al. Assessing the global burden of ischemic heart disease, part 2: analytic methods and estimates of the global epidemiology of ischemic heart disease in 2010.
A small pile of disease-specific papers I helped with from the GBD 2010 have started to make their way into the world. Each should have a set of links to an appropriately selected spot in the GBD-Compare tool:
It would be great if the systematic review data from these studies was released as well! At least two groups have actually used the HCV replication dataset in their own research now.
A colleague forwarded me this RFP specifically for replication of controversial impact evaluations. It includes a recent journal club article (by other IHME colleagues) on the candidate study list. Cool!
I’ve also made it really easy for someone to replicate the results in one recent paper I was involved in, on hepatitis C virus seroprevalence. Well, easy if you manage to get dismod installed… making that really easy is still on my to-do list.
I had a fun time on Monday talking to area high school students at the UW Math Department’s annual Math Day event. My slides and some others are now on the web.
Very cool new visualizations of the GBD2010 results are now on-line: http://viz.healthmetricsandevaluation.org/gbd-compare/
The massive project I’ve been working on since moving from math to global health has been published!
The Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 (GBD 2010) is the largest ever systematic effort to describe the global distribution and causes of a wide array of major diseases, injuries, and health risk factors. The results show that infectious diseases, maternal and child illness, and malnutrition now cause fewer deaths and less illness than they did twenty years ago. As a result, fewer children are dying every year, but more young and middle-aged adults are dying and suffering from disease and injury, as non-communicable diseases, such as cancer and heart disease, become the dominant causes of death and disability worldwide. Since 1970, men and women worldwide have gained slightly more than ten years of life expectancy overall, but they spend more years living with injury and illness.
GBD 2010 consists of seven Articles, each containing a wealth of data on different aspects of the study (including data for different countries and world regions, men and women, and different age groups), while accompanying Comments include reactions to the study’s publication from WHO Director-General Margaret Chan and World Bank President Jim Yong Kim. The study is described by Lancet Editor-in-Chief Dr Richard Horton as “a critical contribution to our understanding of present and future health priorities for countries and the global community.”
Now I have to get my book about the methods out the door as well…
I’m excited to call your attention to a paper that my co-author Ben Birnbaum is presenting next week at the ACM DEV conference:
This research is about… well, the title says it pretty clearly. I’m interested in using our approach to detect surprises in data quality in all kinds of settings. Ben did the heavy lifting for this paper, so he deserves a lot of the congratulations that it has received the best paper award from the DEV 2012 program committee.